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March
24, 2006 : M3 has ceased to be published
by the US Federal Reserve
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by
Franck Biancheri
: President of TIESWeb,
President of Newropeans, fellow researcher
at Europe 2020..
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| 31/03/2006 |
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The world is left without any
reliable data on the dollar-value
As announced last February 15
by Leap/E2020,
yesterday March 23, 2006, the
US
Federal Reserve has ceased
publishing M3, the most reliable
indicator of the amount of USDs
circulating in the world.
The Fed has also ceased publishing
a number of less important indicators
(such as the amount of EuroDollars,
large-denomination time deposits,
and repurchase agreements) which
could have been used to calculate
M3 on the basis of other aggregates.
It is important to bear in mind
that the Fed continues to calculate
M3 and the other indicators. It
doesn’t cease to gather
these data, but it no longer shares
the information with US citizens
and the rest of the world. To
use a simple image, it is as if,
on the eve of a war, the Pentagone
suppressed GPS guidance, including
for its own allies.
Such measure, which has had no
equivalent since 1945, when the
dollar imposed itself as the global
monetary reference, is a major
break in the confidence contract
between the US and its Allies.
This is probably the reason why
some refused to believe in the
possibility to suppress M3 publication,
and expressed doubts about LEAP/E2020’s
analyses concerning a global systemic
crisis.
Indeed, as a result of the Fed’s
decision, it is now impossible
to estimate major factors such
as the amount of money created
to repay the increasing US debt,
or the resale of US Treasury bonds
in order to buy Yens or Euros…
all this at the precise time when
uncertainty starts prevailing
because a growing number of financial
players (from oil producing countries
as well as from Asian countries)
are beginning to express their
intention to sell part of their
USDs.
In the coming weeks and months,
Europe, Asia and oil-producing
countries will have to learn how
to navigate without instruments
for everything that concerns the
dollar value and US deficits’
repayment (pure money creation
or based on real wealth). As regards
US citizens, they too will have
to bet on the worth of their own
economy and currency.
According to Leap/E2020, the cessation
of M3 publication is as important
as Nixon’s unilateral decision
to suspend the convertibility
of the dollar into gold in 1971.
In 1971, the dollar became a currency
solely based on the rest of the
world’s confidence. But
this confidence mostly relied
on the general feeling that US
economy and its currency were
managed transparently. With the
end of M3 publication, this transparency
disappears completely. The US
now wants the world to trust their
word, even in the field of their
currency’s value. In a world
where the confidence in the US
has never been so low since 1945,
the USD is thus turned into the
central player of the beginning
global systemic crisis.
Confusion as regards the Iranian
Oil Bourse… but confirmation
that oil-producing countries’
assets are switched into Euros
in significant amounts
A great confusion these days surrounds
the exact status of the Iranian
Oil Bourse, involved as it is
in the complex diplomatic games
of the Iran-USA crisis. A most
contradictory information circulates
(see Pravda: http://english.pravda.ru/world/asia/21-03-2006/77628-oil-0
). It is however certain (and
that was the essential aspect
of this Bourse) that the USD is
ceasing to be the sole oil-trading
exchange currency, as illustrated
by the Gulf states’ recent
decision to increase their reserves
in Euros versus those in USD:
http://www.middleeastforex.com/index.php?section=147.
The Fed’s decision to end
publication of M3 will accelerate
this trend… if this decision
was not intended to hide it as
long as possible.
Indeed, the US refusal to let
a Gulf state company (Dubaï)
buy terminal operations at six
major US seaports, has resulted
in raising awareness in the Middle-East
that the USD was a trap where
they were in the end prevented
from buying real wealth from the
country of the currency they have
accumulated.
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